Every January, payroll loads a set of new numbers, and every year some of them are wrong — usually because a figure was carried forward, an add-on assessment was omitted, or a rate notice never arrived and nobody chased it.
This guide separates what actually changes for 2027 from what does not, states when each figure is published, and gives you the load sequence. Where a 2027 figure has not yet been announced at the time of writing, that is stated plainly rather than estimated — several key numbers are released in the autumn preceding the tax year.
Start here, because it narrows the work considerably. These are set by statute and do not adjust annually:
|
Item |
Rate |
|
Social Security rate (each side) |
6.2% |
|
Medicare rate (each side) |
1.45% |
|
Additional Medicare (employee only) |
0.9% |
|
Additional Medicare threshold |
$200,000 — not indexed |
|
FUTA gross rate |
6.0% |
|
FUTA taxable wage base |
First $7,000 — not indexed |
|
Maximum FUTA credit |
5.4% |
|
Supplemental wage flat rate |
22% |
|
Mandatory rate above $1,000,000 supplemental |
37% |
|
Backup withholding |
24% |
|
Federal minimum wage |
$7.25 |
|
Next-day deposit trigger |
$100,000 |
Two of those deserve emphasis because their non-indexation surprises people. The $200,000 Additional Medicare threshold has never been indexed, so it captures more employees each year through wage growth alone. And the FUTA wage base of $7,000 has been fixed for decades, which is why FUTA cost is driven almost entirely by headcount turnover rather than by payroll size.
|
Figure |
Typically announced |
Source |
|
Social Security taxable maximum |
October |
Social Security Administration |
|
Retirement plan limits (401(k), catch-up, IRA) |
November |
IRS |
|
Health FSA, dependent care, commuter limits |
October–November |
IRS |
|
HSA limits |
Spring of the preceding year |
IRS |
|
Withholding tables and Publication 15-T |
December–January |
IRS |
|
FUTA credit reduction states |
Late in the tax year |
Department of Labor |
|
State unemployment wage bases |
Varies — many in Q4 |
Each state |
|
Your state unemployment experience rate |
Q4 or January, by notice |
Each state, individually |
|
State minimum wages |
Varies; many effective January 1, some July 1 |
Each state |
|
State paid family leave contribution rates |
Varies, typically Q4 |
Each state |
The practical consequence of that table: you cannot complete the January load in December. Several figures are not final until late in the preceding year, and one — your own unemployment experience rate — arrives by mail or portal notice on the state's schedule, not yours.
Our Payroll Year End: Legislative & Tax Changes session tracks the annual changes, and payroll forms update covers form revisions.
The figure that changes most visibly. It is indexed to average wage growth and announced by the Social Security Administration in October for the following year.
For reference, the recent trajectory: $176,100 for 2025 and $184,500 for 2026. The 2027 figure is announced in October 2026 and should be taken from the SSA's announcement rather than projected.
Why it matters operationally: it is the ceiling above which Social Security withholding stops for each employee. Loading a stale figure either stops withholding early — under-collecting for both employee and employer — or continues it past the ceiling, which over-collects and requires refunding. See our Social Security wage base guide.
Announced by the IRS in November. For 2026 the elective deferral limit is $24,500, the age 50+ catch-up is $8,000, the ages 60–63 catch-up is $11,250, and the IRA limit is $7,500. The 2027 figures follow the November 2026 announcement.
Three loading complications beyond the headline number:
See our retirement plan contribution limits guide and 401(k) plan administration handbook.
This is where the most money is lost to a stale load, because two distinct numbers change and only one is published.
The taxable wage base is set by each state, varies enormously between states, and many are indexed annually to average wages. Published on each state's own schedule, frequently in the fourth quarter.
Your experience rate is assigned to your company individually based on benefits charged against your account relative to taxable payroll. You cannot look it up. The state issues a notice, typically in the fourth quarter or January.
Four things to do with that notice:
The list of states whose employers face a reduced FUTA credit is confirmed late in the tax year — after most budgets are set and most of the year's payroll has run.
The mechanism: a state that has borrowed from the federal unemployment account and failed to repay across consecutive years triggers a credit reduction for its employers, typically beginning at 0.3% and increasing in 0.3% increments per additional year.
Because the timing is unhelpful, the practical approach is to check the status of every state you operate in before preparing Form 940, and to accrue conservatively during the year for any state that has been borrowing. See our FUTA tax guide.
Minimum wages change on multiple schedules — many effective January 1, a meaningful number on July 1, and local ordinances frequently on July 1 as well. Several states index annually, meaning a new figure each year with no legislative event to notice.
The downstream effects are what get missed:
Note that the federal exempt salary threshold remains $684 per week ($35,568) following the rescission of the 2024 rule in May 2026 — so for many employers the state threshold is now the binding constraint. See our minimum wage by state guide and DOL salary threshold guide.
Two items introduced for 2026 continue into 2027 and should not be treated as one-year issues.
OBBBA tips and overtime reporting. Beginning with the 2026 tax year, employers must separately report qualified tips and qualified overtime compensation on Form W-2, and the underlying individual deductions run through tax year 2028. Only the premium portion of overtime mandated by Section 7 of the FLSA qualifies. If the earnings-code separation was built for 2026, verify it survived any system upgrade. See our OBBBA payroll forms update session.
The independent contractor rule. Federal rulemaking was in motion through 2026, with the 2024 rule rescinded from enforcement and a replacement proposed. Confirm the current status before relying on any classification analysis. See our employee vs. independent contractor guide.
That second-to-last item is the one that catches configuration errors. Run a participant at the deferral limit and confirm the deduction stops; run an employee at the Social Security ceiling and confirm OASDI stops. Field values can look right while the logic behind them is not.
Finance will ask for next year's payroll tax cost in the autumn, before several of the numbers are published. Three approaches, in descending order of defensibility.
Model the mechanism, not the number. Social Security cost is 6.2% of wages up to a ceiling. If you know your wage distribution, you can compute the sensitivity: for a workforce concentrated well below the ceiling, a change in the taxable maximum has almost no effect, while for a workforce with many earners above it, each $1,000 of ceiling increase costs $62 per affected employee. Present the sensitivity rather than a point estimate.
Treat state unemployment as the real variable. It moves more than anything federal, because both the rate and the wage base change, and the rate is company-specific. If you have been contesting separations poorly or have had unusual turnover, expect the rate to rise. This is also the line where a credit reduction state can appear late and add unbudgeted FUTA cost.
Accrue conservatively where a state has been borrowing. A FUTA credit reduction is confirmed too late to react. Accruing at a higher effective rate for affected states during the year is cheaper than a January surprise.
What not to do: project the Social Security taxable maximum from the trend and present it as a figure. It will be close and wrong, and it will be quoted back to you in January.
The rates themselves largely do not change — Social Security at 6.2%, Medicare at 1.45%, Additional Medicare at 0.9%, and FUTA at 6.0% with a 5.4% credit are set by statute. What changes are the limits and bases: the Social Security taxable maximum, retirement plan and benefit limits, state unemployment wage bases and experience rates, state minimum wages, and paid family leave contribution rates.
In October 2026, by the Social Security Administration. It is indexed to average wage growth. For reference, the taxable maximum was $176,100 for 2025 and $184,500 for 2026. Take the 2027 figure from the SSA announcement rather than projecting it, since loading a stale or estimated number either stops withholding early or continues it past the ceiling.
No. The $200,000 threshold has never been indexed for inflation, which means wage growth alone brings more employees above it each year. The 0.9% rate is also fixed, and it is employee-only — the employer does not match it.
You cannot look it up. States publish only a rate range and a new-employer rate; your actual experience rate is assigned individually and delivered by mail or through the state's employer portal, generally in the fourth quarter or January. Read the notice in full, because separate add-on assessments are frequently listed alongside the base rate and must be loaded with it, and check the appeal window, which is short.
$684 per week, or $35,568 annually, unless federal rulemaking changes it. The 2024 rule that would have raised it was vacated in litigation and formally rescinded in May 2026, leaving the 2019 levels in effect with no scheduled increase and no automatic indexation. Several states set higher thresholds, some indexed annually, and the higher standard controls.
The Social Security taxable maximum, retirement and benefit plan limits including catch-up amounts by age band, the current withholding tables, state unemployment wage bases and experience rates with all add-on assessments, state minimum wages and exempt thresholds, paid leave contribution rates, and any new local taxes — plus a confirmed deposit schedule based on the new lookback period. Test a calculation at each limit rather than only verifying the field values.
Several 2027 figures are announced in the autumn of 2026 and were not available when this guide was written. Take every current-year number from the issuing agency — the SSA announcement, IRS Publication 15, and your own state rate notices — rather than from any secondary source.

1-770-410-1219
support@PayrollTrainingCenter.com


